This blog supplements the paullewismoney twitter with longer comments, explanations and guides.
Monday, 29 September 2025
GET THAT REFUND
MONEY BACK PLASTIC
Version 2.1
29 September 2025
THE CONTINUOUS PAYMENTS RACKET
THE RULES
If you agree to make a payment or series of payments on your debit or credit card you can cancel future payments by telling your bank or card provider which must stop them at once. You do not have to tell the firm that takes the payments though it is sensible to do so if you can.
Those rights have existed since 1 November 2009 but in 2025 some banks are still getting them wrong.
As long ago as 28 June 2013 the Financial Conduct Authority confirmed the advice which has been given in this blog since April 2012. The FCA says:
"high street banks and mutuals...have agreed that they will ensure that when a customer asks for a recurring payment to end - that will be sufficient to cancel the arrangement. They have also confirmed that should a payment go through by mistake following cancellation by a customer the customer will be refunded immediately."
These payments are called ‘continuous payment authorities’ or ‘recurring payments’. I will call them CPAs. They are NOT direct debits or standing orders which are regular payments from your current account and are covered by separate rules. You have always been able to stop a direct debit or standing order just by telling your bank. And nowadays CPAs can be stopped that way too.
The FCA confirmed this in a previous statement
"the largest banks and mutuals have agreed to review every individual complaint they have received about the non-cancellation of a CPA and to pay redress where payments have continued to be made despite the customer cancelling the arrangement. This applies to all complaints since November 2009 when the Financial Services Authority (FSA), the FCA’s predecessor, began regulating banking conduct."
“However, it is best practice for the customer to be advised that notice of the withdrawal of consent should also be given to the payee, because the PSRs. [Payment Services Regulations] do not address the payer’s underlying liability under the terms of any contract they have signed. For the avoidance of doubt, it is not acceptable for the payment service provider to make withdrawal of consent dependent on notice having been given to the merchant.”
It also clarifies that consent can be withdrawn up to the day before the payment is due
"For future dated payments, the latest point at which the payer can revoke the paymentinstruction is the close of business on the day before the payment is due to be made, or if the payment transaction is to be made when funds are available, close of business on the day before those funds become available."
Conclusion
Despite what a bank or credit card provider may tell you you can cancel a continuous payment authority on a debit or credit card simply by telling your bank or card provider. And it must act on your instruction at once.
MARRIED COUPLES TAX BREAKS
The Marriage Allowance allows a spouse (or civil partner) to transfer up to £1260 of their personal tax allowance to their partner if
(a) their income is below the tax threshold (currently £12,570 a year) and
(b) their spouse does not pay higher rate tax which begins on incomes above £50,270 a year (£43,663 in Scotland).
Both must also be born after 5 April 1935 because older couples get a bigger tax break - see below.
Around two million have claimed it successfully but another two million who could claim have not done so.
How it works
If a couple qualifies then the non-taxpayer can transfer £1260 of their unused personal allowance to their spouse. That will save the taxpaying spouse basic rate tax on that amount which is £252 a year (£21 a month).
Claiming and payment
You can claim the marriage allowance online or through the income tax helpline 0300 200 3300. You will need National Insurance numbers and dates of birth for you and your spouse. Lines are open 0800-2000 Mon-Fri or 0800-1600 Saturday. You can also claim by sending a letter with your details to Pay As You Earn, HM Revenue and Customs, BX9 1AS. That might take longer.
Once the transfer is done the spouse receiving the extra allowance will have a suffix M added to their tax code The one making the transfer will have a suffix N and their tax code will be lower.
It will be backdated to the start of the tax year and then reflected in a reduced amount of tax each month. If you qualified in the last four tax years you should claim for them too - that would mean a cheque for £1008.
Problems
The transfer can only be for the full amount of £1260. That can be done even if the person transferring the amount has an income close to their personal tax allowance. So someone with an income of £12,000 who is a non-taxpayer can transfer the full £1260 leaving themselves with a personal allowance of £12,570 - £1260 = £11,310. So they will start being a taxpayer and pay basic rate tax on £12,000 - £11,310 = £690 ie a tax bill of £138. Their spouse will save £252 leaving the couple £114 better off.
The Marriage Allowance is only available to married couples and civil partners. couples who live together but are not married or civil partners do not qualify.
If either partner was born before 6 April 1935 then they cannot claim Marriage Allowance because they can claim the higher Married Couple's Allowance.
29 September 2025
State pension steal from April 2026
STATE PENSION STEAL TO COST SOME OVER £12,800
Anyone born 6 April 1960 or later will not get their state pension at 66. They will have to wait up to 12 months after that birthday to qualify, costing them up to £12,849 in lost state pension.
The rise in state pension age will happen in stages linked only to date of birth. It will be identical for men and women and apply throughout the UK.
The actual loss for any individual will depend on the day of the week which is their payday. That is a weekday from Monday to Friday and depends on their National Insurance number. The loss assumes the individual gets a full New State Pension and assumes that will be £241.05 from 6 April 2026 and £247.10, an increase of 2.5%, from 12 April 2027. The state pension is accumulated weekly so there are four or five weekly payments in a month which accounts for the difference between the minimum and maximum losses. No account is taken of the up to six days pension that is paid between the birthday and the first payday.- Winter Fuel Payment is only paid to those who reach state pension age in the qualifying week in September. For winter 2026 the last date to qualify is expected to be 27 September 2026 which will include people born 27 June 1960 or earlier who will be 66 and 3 months. In winter 2027 people born 26 December 1960 or earlier aged 66 and 9 months will qualify. The same rules currently apply to the Pension Age Winter Heating Payment in Scotland.
- People who work must pay National Insurance contributions until they reach state pension age. They start at 8% on earnings over £242 a week (6% for self-employed) and 2% on earnings above £967 a week. In future people aged 66 will have to pay them until they reaach 67.
- Bus passes for free travel after 9.30 in the morning in most of England are linked to state pension age.
- Means-tested benefits such as pension credit, housing benefit, and council tax reduction are all linked to state pension age. Once you reach that age they pay much more than is paid to people below that age who are only entitled to 'working age' benefits. Universal credit is less than half the amount of pension credit and comes with onerous requirements to search for a job even if that seems hopeless in your late sixties.
- The qualifying age for pension credit will rise with state pension age so mixed age couples will have to wait longer for the younger partner to reach it.
- Many company pension schemes and some older public sector pension schemes still pay out from age 65 - or even 60 - leaving a longer gap before the state pension kicks in.
- Attendance Allowance can only be claimed from state pension age. Younger people must claim Personal Independence Payment (PIP) which is the same amount but can be more for those with mobility issues but which has different tests for entitlement.
Friday, 19 September 2025
Winter Fuel payment 2025/26
WINTER FUEL PAYMENT 2025/26
Qualifying
· Everyone
aged 66 by 21 September this year – born 21/9/1959 or before – will get the Winter Fuel Payment in Nov/Dec 2025. It will be paid automatically into your bank account without a claim. Ignore any emails or messages inviting you to claim it. They are from thieves. Don’t click on any links and delete them.
·
However,
a very few who have not claimed their state pension, have never worked in the
UK, or have legally arrived in the UK recently may not be known to the Department for Work and Pensions. They will be missed and will have to
claim. You can’t claim yet. But later in the year go to gov.uk and search ‘winter fuel payment’. The deadline is March 2026
· How much
The Payment is £200 per household where one or both is aged 66 to 79 and £300 if one or both are over 80 - born 21/9/45 or earlier.
·
Couples
not on means-tested benefits will get half each, so either £100 or £150 each. Though if one is over 80 and the other not the older one will get £200 and the younger £100.
For a couple where one claims a means-tested benefit, the whole amount will be paid to that person
·
People
in care homes will get the Winter Fuel Payment as long as they do not claim any
means-tested benefit there. They will get the half payment - £100 aged 66-79 and £150 aged 80 or more. If they get a means-tested benefit they will not get
the payment.
People living outside the UK cannot get the Winter Fuel Payment. In Winter 2023/24 and earlier it was payable to some people in the EEA and before that in parts of the EU and before that throughout the EU, but that is no longer the case.
Taking it
back
· Individuals who get Winter Fuel Payment who have a taxable income above £35,000 in 2025/26 will have their Winter Fuel Payment taken back in full through their income tax in 2026/27. That will normally be done through their tax code if they have one. It will be reduced so that they pay back a twelfth of the payment each month from April 2026 to March 2027. That will mean extra monthly tax of £16.67 if they get the standard £200 payment. The details of how the tax code itself will change have yet to be announced.
However, people who already complete a self-assessment form will not have their tax code amended but will repay the winter fuel payment in full with their first tax payment for 2025/26 which is due by 31 January 2027 at the latest. As far as I can see their tax return will be prepopulated with the repayment. They should check that their tax code on a pension or earnings has not been adjusted as well.
The few people affected who neither have a tax code nor do self-assessment will repay the Winter Fuel Payment through the simple assessment procedure which collects the tax they owe. HMRC says it will be done automatically without the need to register or take any action.
In 2027/28 HMRC plans to take back the winter fuel payment from 2026/27 and 2027/28 even though the income for 2027/28 will not be known when it is recovered - as set out here see 'winter payment'. That means that it will be taking back two winter fuel payments only one of which will have been received. HMRC says any errors -- for example if income falls below the £35,000 limit in 2027/28 -- will be corrected through the tax code. It plans to recover the payment in years from 2028/29 from the April before the payment has been received. The law implementing this recovery scheme has not yet been published still less passed by Parliament.
· Taxable income includes all money that counts, or could count, towards income tax due in a year. State pension, earnings, pensions from a job, retirement annuities, personal pensions, taxable drawdown from a SIPP, taxable social security benefits such as widow's benefit, carers allowance, and incapacity benefit, rental income (but not up to £7500 a year from rent-a-room), interest on savings, and dividends will all be counted. Savings interest and dividends are counted in full including the amount within the £1000 or £500 personal savings allowance or the £500 dividend allowance. Interest on ISA savings and dividends on ISA investments are not taxable and do not count as taxable income. Nor does any profit made on trading or property covered by the £1000 trading and property allowances. Premium Bond prizes do not count as taxable income. Capital gains are not counted as income. Non-taxable benefits such as attendance allowance will not be counted as income.
Paying into a pension or giving money to charity will probably not reduce the taxable income that is counted. No question is asked about either on the official calculator. However, there may be circumstances where it might. The rules have not yet been published.
·
There
will be no assessment of household incomes. So a low-income husband may keep
£100 and his high income wife may have her £100 taken back through her tax. Or
£150 if both are over 80.
·
There
will be no assessment of capital so the value of a home or savings or
investments or property will not be counted. So some ‘millionaires’ in the
broadest definition will still get it even if their home or savings or both
together exceed £1 million but their individual taxable income is £35,000 or below.
·
Government
says about two million will have it taken back and more than 9 million will
keep it.
·
Government
says the threshold of £35,000 was chosen to ensure all who need it get it and
it is ‘broadly in line with average earnings’.
You can opt out of receiving the winter fuel payment. The deadline for this year was 15 September and it is 10 October in Scotland. The Government revealed on 1 October that about 50,000 pensioners had opted out of the payment. The opt out window for the 2026 winter opens on 1 April 2026.
·
Nine
million pensioners to receive Winter Fuel Payments this winter - GOV.UK
Last winter, Northern Ireland implemented the pension credit means-test for the Winter Fuel Payment, but in addition gave £100 to every pensioner of qualifying age who did not get the payment.
· This
winter it will follow the England and Wales rules, the Communities Minister has
confirmed.
· Scotland
· From this winter the payment will be called the Pension Age Winter Heating Payment. It will follow the new scheme in the rest of the UK but with payments of £203.40 aged 66-79 and £305.10 aged 80 or more. The extra amounts reflect a 1.7% increase on last year’s payments, in line with last September’s inflation which was used to raise other benefits. As in rest of UK the payment will be given to all and then recouped from those with an income in 2025/26 of more than £35,000. The mechanism for recovering the money will be the same as in the rest of the UK. The £100 payment which the Scottish government promised for all pensioners who don't qualify for winter fuel payment has been scrapped. Official gov.scot announcement here.
Future Years
In 2026/27 and 2027/28 Winter Fuel Payment will be affected by the rise in state pension age. If the current rules are followed it is expected that for Winter 2026 the last date to qualify will be 27 September 2026 which will include people born 27 June 1960 or earlier who will be aged at least 66 and three months. In winter 2027 only people born 26 December 1960 or earlier will qualify and they will be at least 66 years and nine months. In future years people will need to be 67 by the week of the third Monday in September to qualify. The same rules are expected to apply in Scotland.
Paul Lewis
3 October 2025
Version 1.81
1880
Thursday, 22 May 2025
ACTIVELY MANAGED CASH BEATS INFLATION
CASH VERSUS INFLATION
Tell any financial adviser you prefer cash because it gives a guaranteed return and chances are they will tell you the only thing guaranteed is that you will lose money because it will be eaten away by inflation. And if you reply 'yes but I don’t want to take a risk' the response will be that there is a risk with cash – indeed a certainty – that your savings will worth less in real terms when you take them out than when you put them in.
This research shows that advice is generally wrong, at least for those who actively manage their cash deposits. So financial advisers should be very cautious in telling clients those things. It may be seen as not treating them fairly or fulfilling their consumer duty. This blogpost will help them get it right.
The numbers
Cash returns and inflation can be
measured precisely over the past. Some numbers go back to the 1990s and there
are detailed figures for the whole of this century. But there are choices to be
made.
First, how do we measure cash returns? On the face of it there is a plethora of different ones. Every bank and building society decides on the interest rate it pays and the latest Moneyfacts for May 2025 devotes ten pages to around 150 different institutions which can each offer 80 or more rates on different sorts of savings. Even its Savings Selection page of the accounts with the highest rates has eight tables with a total of 304 cells each of which can show a different rate.
So Active Cash™ - which I trademarked in 2016 - has one simple rule. You pick the best one-year fixed rate deposit account - often called a bond - and when it reaches its term use the money from it to buy the best bond then. It is a simple rule and takes just a few minutes once a year to implement – go online and find the best buy one year bond and put your money in it. With faster payments the money can come out of one bond and go into next year’s choice on the same day.
The figures used in this analysis are from Moneyfacts ‘Savings Selection’ page. They are the best rate in the '1 Yr' column of the table for fixed rate accounts. I am grateful to the money data firm for giving me access to the rates paid on the best buy one year bond each month from January 1995 – more than 30 years of data. They can be found here.
Second, how do we measure inflation? The Retail Prices Index (RPI) was the preferred choice until April 2011 when George Osborne changed the official measure to the Consumer Prices Index (CPI). Nowadays the Office for National Statistics (ONS) boffins prefer CPIH which includes housing costs. For simplicity, I have picked CPI which ONS has back-calculated as far as we need it and the monthly percentage rise in prices over the previous 12 months is easy to download from the Office for National Statistics website.
With those choices made, comparing Active Cash™ rates with CPI inflation needs just two columns of numbers for each month.
The comparison
For each starting month I have
calculated the return on Active Cash™ over a set number of years and compared the
return with the rise in the CPI over that same period. If the total Active
Cash™ percentage return is bigger than CPI then at the end of the period your
money is worth more. If it is smaller then it is worth less. I picked one, two,
three, four, five, and ten years.
For example, if you put £1000 into the best one year bond in October 2003 the interest rate is 4.6% so by October 2004 it would be worth £1046. But inflation over that period to October 2004 was 1.2% so the real value of your money after a year is £1033.60. If you then go on to put that £1046 into a best buy one year bond and again and again over five years by October 2008 your £1000 would have grown 30.616% to £1,306.16 but inflation over that period was 13.109% so the real value of your £1000 after five years was £1154.78 a real terms increase of £154.78. Over ten years the real terms increase by October 2013 would be £223.65. The calculations show that for any starting month before March 2009 and over any of the periods Active Cash™ beats CPI inflation.
For later years that is no longer true. Put £1000 into the best buy one year bond in July 2020 then the real value of that after one year would be £991.18, after three years would be £874.43, and after four years would be £906.95. So it is clear that with some starting months your cash will grow in real terms but in others it will shrink.
Over time
To see the outcome over many years
I picked two periods – this century which means buying a one year bond starting each month from January 2000. And the last sixteen years – doing the same from
March 2009. That month was picked because it is the first for which the
return on Active Cash™ fell below inflation. From that date the calculations show many starting months when it beats inflation and many when it does not. It
is a simple matter to count each outcome.
From January 2000 Active Cash™ beat inflation in all five periods of 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 10 years. The worst period was 2 years at 71% of the starting months; the best was 85% of the starting months over ten years.
Taking the first quarter of this century, the average real (after inflation) return on £1000 invested each month is a compound increase of around 1%. So active cash does beat inflation.
From 1 March 2009 Active Cash™ also beat inflation in all five periods. The range was 51% (two years) to 64% (five years) of the starting months. In other words, stick a pin in a random start month and a random period and Active Cash™ is more likely to beat inflation than not.
From January 1995 to February 2009 Active Cash™ beats inflation in every single starting month over all five periods for as long as these records go back. So before March 2009 cash managed this way always beat inflation.
From March 2009 the results become mixed. The financial crisis of 2008 led to a period of high inflation and then historically very low interest rates and there was very high inflation in 2022. So there are blocks of time where cash does not beat inflation.
Now in 2025 we may be entering a different and more normal era. From August 2022 Active Cash™ beat inflation over two years for every starting month. And over one year for every starting month from November 2022 buying a best buy bond has outperformed inflation. In that month the best buy bond paid 4.5% and when it matured in November 2023 inflation over the 12 months it had been held was just 3.9% so it beat inflation and that has been true in each of the eighteen months since up to April 2025.
When an adviser tells you that you are bound to lose money in real terms with cash it is simply not true overall if you manage it properly. And for that, Active Cash™ is the key.
FURTHER ANALYSIS
Behaviour
The biggest problem with this
analysis is that Active Cash™ is not how most people behave. If you leave your
money languishing in an average account either as a one year bond or in an easy
access account then the figures are very different.
Easy access is generally the worse. Using Bank of England figures for what it calls ‘sight deposits’ which you can take out whenever you want and which pay variable interest rates, the best that cash can do from 2000 is beat inflation 43% of the time over one year and the worst is just 8% of the time over ten years. Since March 2009 it is better at the most for only 14% of the time and over longer periods it is never better. This analysis assumes that the interest paid remains at the average for the whole 12 months. That is not normally true but the effect is unlikely to change the overall picture.
There is £280 billion in bank accounts that pay no interest. That money is indeed guaranteed to lose its value over any period, even one month.
Buying an average one year bond each year does better than average sight deposits, but of course not as well as buying the best. Using Bank of England numbers for the average rate paid on one year bonds you would still beat inflation for bonds bought in most months of this century – 52% to 59% of months would do that depending on the period over which you did it. But from March 2009 the figures are much worse. Over ten years a bond bought in any starting month would not beat inflation and over the shorter periods only between 38% (one year) and 14% (five years) would beat inflation.
Protection
People with a lot of cash savings
face another problem with Active Cash™ – there is an £85,000 compensation limit
if the bank or building society where their money is saved goes bust. Very
cautious people split their savings so that no bank or building society has more than
that in it. That means of course that not all their money can be in the best
buy account. However, the difference between the top five is not great – it currently
ranges from 4.52% to 4.4%, all still comfortably above inflation which has just hit 3.5% and which the Bank
of England predicts will stay high this year before falling again. In
December it is expected that the deposit protection limit will rise to £110,000
so people with £500,000 will be able to safely earn above inflation increases in
their cash deposits spread over the top five accounts.
Tax
The figures take no account of income
tax that may be due on the interest. For basic rate taxpayers there is a £1000
tax-free savings allowance and they would need more than around £22,000 in
savings to currently earn enough interest to exceed the £1000 allowance where
tax is due. For a higher rate taxpayer the figure is half that as the allowance
is just £500. Tax could be mitigated by using Active Cash™ techniques on cash ISAs
where the interest is all tax-free. But there is a limit on putting money into a cash ISA - currently £20,000 a year. And no long-term data is available to allow the
ISA calculations to be done. Cash ISAs currently pay interest at very
similar levels to taxable savings accounts but that has not always been the case.
Inflation choice
CPI was chosen because it is the
current standard way of measuring inflation. The calculations could also be
done using
- RPI
- RPI until March 2011 and CPI from April 2011
- CPIH as back calculated by ONS.
Putting these rates into the calculations does not materially affect the outcomes overall, though of course with a measure that gives higher inflation, Active Cash™ beats it less often.
Paul Lewis
Version 1.21 errors corrected and brought up to date with latest inflation (April 2025)
22 May 2025